Tulsa vs South Florida 10/16/2021

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Tulsa is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat South Florida. Shamari Brooks is projected for 169 rushing yards and a 83% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where South Florida wins, Timmy McClain averages 0.94 TD passes vs 0.48 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.48 TDs to 0.72 interceptions. Jaren Mangham averages 69 rushing yards and 1.6 rushing TDs when South Florida wins and 56 yards and 0.87 TDs in losses. Tulsa has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 73% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SFLA +9.5 --- Over/Under line is 58.5
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